Description
March Meeting: Yes, if a rate cut upper bound occurs before the March 2026 FOMC meeting; No if no qualifying cut is announced before the specified window and deadlines, with emergency cuts counting.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Dec 16, 2025, 19:29
Resolve date
Mar 18, 2026, 20:18
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.