Description
July Meeting: Yes, if an upper-bound rate cut occurs before the July FOMC meeting; No if not, including scenarios where emergency action is taken with no January/February flare.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Feb 26, 2026, 00:29
Resolve date
Jun 17, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.