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Description
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? is a decision-market on whether Merz ceases to be Germany’s chancellor for any period by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A resignation or removal announcement triggers Yes immediately, even if the change isn’t yet effective. Settlement also follows a credible government report or credible reporting confirming the change.
Event stats
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1
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.