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Description
Earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher will be tallied globally from June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET through June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Settlement relies on USGS Earthquake Hazards Program data, with magnitude cutoff 5.5 and the specified date window; if a qualifying quake appears after the window, the market may stay open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or until the event magnitude is reported. If needed, a credible secondary source may resolve the count, and final resolution may take up to 24 hours after the last qualifying event is recorded to incorporate magnitude revisions.
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.