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Description
Modi out before 2027? tracks whether Narendra Modi leaves office for any period between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A removal occurs if he resigns, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise unable to fulfill duties within the window. Settlement relies on a broad, credible reporting consensus confirming the change in position.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.