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Description
Nobel Peace Prize winner forecasts for 2026. The Norwegian Nobel Committee will announce the laureate(s) in 2026; the market resolves to a single winner or to Other if the official results are not announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple recipients are named, the market chooses a single winner. When the prize is split among prioritized individuals, the highest-ranked recipient among Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, and Elon Musk determines the outcome in that precedence order. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize goes to mixed types (individuals and organizations), the winner will be the individual. If all listed recipients are the same type, the alphabetically first last name/name among the listed recipients is chosen. Resolution source is the committee’s first official announcement.
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.