Price history
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Description
Keir Starmer’s status as Prime Minister is in focus through 2025. The Yes outcome resolves if Starmer ceases to be PM for any period between February 2 and December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET); a resignation or removal announcement before the end date immediately asserts Yes. The No outcome remains if he remains in office throughout the window, with settlement based on UK government results or credible reporting.
Event stats
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Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
19
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 22 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 23 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 24 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 25 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.