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Description
Trump on $250 bill this year? is a binary market about whether the U.S. federal government will officially issue a $250 paper bill featuring Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if such a bill becomes available for public purchase or distribution, with commemorative notes counting if they carry legal tender status; mere proposals or announcements do not qualify. The resolution source is official government information, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump on $250 bill this year? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.