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Description
US charges Hormuz fees by…? market tracks whether the United States collects a payment from any shipping entity for transit through the Strait of Hormuz or for protection of shipping there by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Any payment received (monetary or in-kind) counts, but announcements alone do not. Payments must occur by the deadline and be collected under a US-imposed fee or compensation arrangement; payments by Iran or preexisting obligations do not count. Resolution relies on official US announcements and credible reporting consensus.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
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Top market
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24h loser
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Related events
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran leadership change by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.