Price history
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Description
Bab el-Mandeb Strait transit dynamics are tracked by IMF PortWatch. The Yes outcome resolves if the 7-day moving average of Arrivals of Ships drops to 10 or fewer on any listed date from market creation through the specified end date. If no such value appears, the market resolves No, with a data-confirmed cutoff on the listed date or 14 days after if no data is published.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
10
Market highlights
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24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
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24h loser
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 , including both the chart and downloadable files.