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Description
Which country will join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Countries listed include Oman, Kuwait, Syria, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, Somaliland, Pakistan, Qatar, Turkey, Egypt, and Jordan. Resolution requires a formal signing of a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a No if no such signing occurs. Official government statements are the primary source, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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12
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kuwait | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Syria | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lebanon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Saudi Arabia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Azerbaijan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Somaliland | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pakistan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Qatar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Turkey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Egypt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jordan | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.