Description
Which party will Donald Trump endorse in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Israel is scheduled to hold elections by October 27, 2026. This market resolves based on the party Trump publicly endorses or calls to vote for, with rules for endorsements of Prime Minister candidates and ties resolved by first endorsement or alphabetical order. If no qualifying endorsement is announced by the earliest of December 31, 2026 or the day before the election at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No Endorsement. Resolution comes from official statements or credible reporting consensus.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Together | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Blue and White | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Religious Zionism | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| UTJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Otzma Yehudit | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yashar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hadash–Ta'al | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Democrats | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| New Hope | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Noam | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No Endorsement | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.