Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Iran coup attempt by June 30? markets cover a widely reported attempt to overthrow or seize Iran’s government between market creation and 2026-06-30 23:59 ET. Resolution follows a consensus of credible reporting, with foiled plots only counting when credible sources describe a coup attempt, not mere unrest or isolated actions.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
2
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Iran military action against ___ by March 31?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.