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Description
A new country joining the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) requires a formal signing of a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords framework. Somaliland is counted as a country for this market. Existing members UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan do not count toward a new addition. Settlement relies on official government statements or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.