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Description
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if video or photo footage shows a qualifying lip kiss during the summit window, defined as an in-person lip contact between the two. If Trump does not enter Chinese territory by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No. Footage-based evidence governs settlement.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.