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Description
UAE withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in 2026 is assessed by whether the UAE government officially announces or communicates a decision to withdraw between market creation and 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. The Yes outcome requires a formal government statement or denunciation indicating withdrawal, with credible reporting as a fallback if an official notice is not issued. No covers all cases where no official UAE withdrawal announcement occurs by the deadline.
Event stats
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.