Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? The market resolves to Yes if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, under a formal federal detention program. Temporary holds under 24 hours or symbolic events do not count; settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
US x Iran ceasefire by...?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Venezuela leader end of 2026?Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?Iran military action against ___ by March 31?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will Trump visit China by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcatraz reopened in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.