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Description
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain? is a yes/no market tracking whether the king ceases to be Bahrain’s de facto leader at any time before June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). If Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa is removed, detained, or otherwise unable to act as de facto leader within the window, the Yes resolves accordingly; a resignation or abdication announcement qualifies for Yes regardless of effective timing. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Event stats
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Markets
2
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.