Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Israel strike on Yemen by...?: Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or an official Yemeni embassy/consulate by the listed date. A qualifying strike uses aerial bombs, drones, or missiles launched by Israeli forces that impact Yemen proper or a Yemeni diplomatic site; interceptions do not qualify. The resolution follows a consensus of credible reporting, with deadlines defined by the listed date and local time.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
5
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Will Israel strike Gaza on...?Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.