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Description
July 2026 Temperature Increase markets rely on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026, reported via NASA's GISTEMP series. An anomaly within a named bracket resolves the market immediately when July 2026 data is available, regardless of any later revisions. If NASA data for July 2026 is unavailable, the index may be substituted from other NASA information; if no July 2026 data is provided by September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.10ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20–1.24ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25–1.29ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| >1.29ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.