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Description
Earthquakes with magnitude 6.5 or higher globally from June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET to June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will determine the total count. The USGS Earthquake Hazards Program is the primary resolution source; if a qualifying event appears after the window, an extended date until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET may apply, with credible resolution sources as fallback if needed. The final count will settle based on the number of qualifying earthquakes observed within the window and verified by the resolution sources.
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.