Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? tracks whether she leaves or announces an intention to leave the GOP by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A formal announcement by Murkowski of leaving, joining another party, or becoming independent within the timeframe qualifies as Yes, regardless of when the switch takes effect or caucusing plans. Yes resolves when official information from Murkowski is published or when a credible reporting consensus confirms the announcement.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
US x Iran ceasefire by...?What will Trump say this week (March 8)?Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?US strikes Iraq by...?Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Trump out as President by March 31?Venezuela leader end of 2026?Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.