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Description
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) collects forecasts from the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026. An anomaly within a named bracket is sufficient to settle the market as soon as the data is released, with settlement anchored to NASA’s table entry for Mar 2026 under the 0.01°C increments. If the primary NASA source becomes unavailable, alternate NASA data may be used; if NASA provides no February 2026 data by May 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.10ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20–1.24ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25–1.29ºC | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| >1.29ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.