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Description
February 2026 temperature increase markets track the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026. Resolution occurs if February’s index falls into a named bracket, as reported in NASA’s GLB.Ts+dSST table, with the official Feb value (0.01°C steps) driving the outcome. If February data is unavailable, the market resolves to the lowest bracket. An anomaly within a bracket is sufficient for immediate settlement when data is released.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.05ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.05–1.09ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20–1.24ºC | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| >1.24ºC | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.