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Description
Measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026: the market tracks confirmed measles (Rubeola) cases in 2026, as tallied by the CDC Measles counter, with a Yes outcome if the total meets or exceeds the specified threshold by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2026. Resolution relies on the CDC counter’s Total Cases; if unavailable, a credible alternate source may be used. The counter aggregates U.S. cases, independent of state tallies.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.