Description
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by the listed date is a set of Yes/No markets. Yes resolves if Díaz-Canel is removed from power, resigns, is detained, or ceases to hold the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba (as reported publicly) by the target date. No resolves if such removal does not occur by that date, per a consensus of credible reporting as the resolution source.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.