Description
US formal declaration of war on Venezuela by December 31, 2025 requires an act of Congress declaring war between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A declaration enacted into law by Congress is the sole qualifying path; AUMFs, executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not suffice. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.