Description
Named storm forms before hurricane season? The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season runs June 1 through November 30, but this market resolves Yes if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025 and May 31, 2026. If no named storm is identified by May 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET), the market resolves No; a potential storm not yet classified may keep the market open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if classification occurred before midnight.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Named storm forms before hurricane season? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.