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Description
Donald Trump’s removal from the presidency via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) would resolve the market as Yes. The counterfactual No resolves if the removal does not occur by the deadline, or if Trump ceases to be POTUS for another reason before expiration. The resolution source is official information from the U.S. government.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.