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Description
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem or if official statements confirm a full evacuation by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Partial evacuations do not qualify. Resolution relies on official government announcements or a consensus of credible reporting confirming evacuation.
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1
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem, Israel, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.