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Description
Ursula von der Leyen potentially leaving the European Commission presidency in 2026 is tracked through a Yes/No market. Yes resolves if she ceases to be EC President for any period before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; No if the presidency remains in place through that moment. An official resignation/removal announcement from the European Commission or European Union triggers an immediate Yes, even if the change takes effect later. Resolution relies on official EC/EU information or credible reporting consensus when necessary.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.