Description
Donald Trump is set to speak at a Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The Yes market resolves if the named term appears in live or broadcast remarks during the event, including clips of prior interviews aired as part of the program. Variants that form part of a compound word count toward resolution; non-listed forms do not. If the ceremony is cancelled or not aired by June 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves Yes for “-No Qualifying Event-” and No for all other brackets. Settlement is determined by the broadcast video of the event.
Event stats
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand 15+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Medal 5+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Deal 3+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran 3+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Biden / Obama 3+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dog | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hormuz / Strait | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marine / Veteran | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Parachute | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vietnam | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Freedom | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ballroom | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stock Market | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nuclear | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Uranium | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Oil | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Peace | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Election | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18, 2026 at 4PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on June 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled “Medal of Honor Ceremony” on June 18, 2026, 4PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.