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Description
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? The market resolves to Yes if a general or blanket 10%+ tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at 12:00 PM ET on March 31, 2026; otherwise it resolves to No. The policy must be operational at that exact time, with rules allowing 10% or greater baseline tariffs broadly applied, including some item- or country-specific exceptions. Official government information is the primary source, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time. “In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.