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Description
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? A Yes will require a written court ruling in any US state finding widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or vote manipulation in the 2020 presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. No if no such ruling is issued by then. The ruling must be a finalized court order, judgment, opinion, or decision, and must demonstrate that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote manipulation occurred, excluding mere procedural irregularities or isolated cases.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.