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Description
Iran may claim responsibility for the Oslo Embassy attack, with a Yes outcome requiring an explicit statement from the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no explicit claim is issued by the Iranian authorities, the market resolves to No. The primary resolution source is official Iranian government statements, with credible reporting considered in the event of ambiguity.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.