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Description
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31, 2025? An Yes resolves if the Israeli government issues an official declaration or legal act claiming sovereignty over new territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. No otherwise. Annexation means a formal sovereignty claim; mere settler administration does not count. The primary resolution source is official Israeli government information, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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3
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.