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Description
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? is a binary market on the cessation of the U.S. Department of Education by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Yes applies if the department ceases operations in full, including termination of all federal programs, or if it is merged into a consolidated department under a new title. No applies if termination is not achieved or if action is blocked by inability to sign legislation or execute executive actions.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.