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Description
Trump insult of MBS by May 15, 2026 is measured by any public statement where Donald Trump insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative way between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on May 15, 2026. Negative descriptors targeting personal attributes or character qualify; policy disagreements without disparagement do not. A direct referent qualifies even if not named explicitly, provided context makes the subject clear. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump insult MBS by May 15? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.