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Description
Will Trump resign before 2027? is a binary market on whether President Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Settlement relies on an official government statement or a broad credible reporting consensus confirming the resignation announcement, with No applicable if resignation cannot occur due to removal from office or similar constraints. If resignation becomes impossible, the market resolves to No.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump resign before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.