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Description
Earthquakes of magnitude 6.5+ between Apr 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET are counted for this market. Settlement follows USGS Earthquake Hazards Program data, with a possible late-open window through May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if a qualifying event is not yet posted, or a credible-resolution source if needed. Final resolution may include a 24-hour revision window on the last day before data lock.
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Markets
7
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.