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Description
Earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater occurring worldwide between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET are counted. Resolution follows USGS Earthquakes Hazards Program data; if a qualifying quake appears later, the market may stay open through June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or until the earthquake is reflected in the resolution source. If the final-day event is recorded, the market may stay open up to 24 hours for magnitude revisions, with a fallback to a credible resolution source if needed.
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7
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.