Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? Fed actions in 2026 will be counted in 25 basis point increments, including emergency moves outside scheduled meetings. The total for 2026 will be resolved by the exact number of 25 bp hikes (e.g., a 50 bp move counts as two hikes) up to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the required number of hikes becomes impossible because more hikes have already occurred than the strike, the market resolves to No. Resolution follows FOMC statements and official Fed publications through 2026.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 (0 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1 (25 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 (50 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 (75 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 (100 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 5+ (125+ bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.