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Description
Fed rate hike by...? The market tracks whether the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point from December 16, 2025 through the completion of the listed FOMC meeting, inclusive of any rate hike announced due to that meeting. Emergency hikes qualify, and if the listed meeting does not occur within seven ET days of its scheduled end date with no qualifying cut, the market resolves to No. The primary resolution source is the Fed's official Open Market Page, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
5
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.