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Description
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31, 2026 is tracked through a Yes outcome if Lutnick ceases to serve in any period before 11:59 PM ET on that date. An explicit resignation or removal announcement triggers Yes immediately, even if the change takes effect later. The resolution source is official Trump administration information, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.