Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
15
Market highlights
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24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.