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Description
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? markets revolve around whether the Trump administration formally announces that Maria Corina Machado is the leader of Venezuela by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A Yes resolves if the statement is an official, direct US recognition; No covers all other outcomes. The primary resolution source will be official US government announcements and President Trump, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
Event stats
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.