Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Will a hurricane form by May 31? is decided by NOAA designation of any Atlantic storm as a hurricane between December 4, 2025 and May 31, 2026. If a storm is named and upgraded to hurricane status within that window, the Yes outcome resolves; otherwise No. If a storm remains unclassified by May 31, the market may stay open until June 1 at 12:00 PM ET to capture late classification.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Natural Disaster in 2026?5kt meteor strike in 2026?Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a hurricane form by May 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.