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Description
Iran withdraws from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) requires an official written notice to UN stating intent to withdraw under Article X. Yes resolves if such notification is publicly announced; No otherwise. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.