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Description
The U.S. invasion of Cuba in 2026 is evaluated as Yes if a military offensive begins with the aim of controlling any portion of Cuban land by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. De facto control by either party counts as territory for market purposes, and settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
Event stats
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1
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.