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Description
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? A Yes occurs if the U.S. government announces the reopening or opening of any U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran, or confirms such reopening by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement within this window qualifies regardless of whether an embassy or consulate actually opens by then. Any embassy or consulate opening in Iran qualifies. An official statement must clearly commit to an opening; general diplomacy or exploratory steps do not. Resolution sources are official U.S. government statements or a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.